⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Freddie Freeman 4 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 8 Wenceel Pérez 4 HRs · 9 Hunter Goodman 4 HRs · 10 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 11 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 12 James Wood 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Freddie Freeman 4 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 8 Wenceel Pérez 4 HRs · 9 Hunter Goodman 4 HRs · 10 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 11 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 12 James Wood 4 HRs
Luis Morales
Luis Morales RHP ATH
17 matchups scored · 2 game days
4 HRs Allowed
23.5% HR Rate (Pool)
HR Vulnerability Snapshot Pool + today context
·
HR/9 ?Home runs allowed per 9 innings. >1.5 elite-bad (homer-friendly), 1.2–1.5 above avg, <0.9 elite-good (HR-resistant).
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HR/FB ?Pitcher's HR-per-fly-ball rate. >15% elite homer-prone, 12–15% above avg, <8% homer-resistant. League avg ~12%.
·
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
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Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
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FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
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FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
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xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
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FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
23.5%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
17
Pool Matchups
4
HRs Allowed (Pool)
0
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
23.5%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
trend vs full-pool HR rate
Window Matchups Game Days HR HR Rate HR/Game Avg Max EV Avg HR EV Avg HR LA Avg HR Dist Trend
Last 7 17 2 4 23.5% 2.0 102.7mph 107.0mph 29.0° 391ft Flat +0.0pp
Last 15 17 2 4 23.5% 2.0 102.7mph 107.0mph 29.0° 391ft Flat +0.0pp
Last 30 17 2 4 23.5% 2.0 102.7mph 107.0mph 29.0° 391ft Flat +0.0pp
Batted-Ball Damage
16 tracked BBE from 17 pool matchups
102.7
111.1
13
0
107.0
29.0°
391
Date Batter Max EV HR EV HR LA HR Dist HR?
2026-04-04 Cam Smith 111.1mph 111.1mph 34° 402ft Yes
2026-04-04 Christian Walker 108.2mph 108.2mph 20° 383ft Yes
2026-04-04 Yainer Diaz 106.3mph · · · ·
2026-04-04 Mauricio Dubon 104.8mph · · · ·
2026-04-04 Victor Caratini 103.4mph · · · ·
2026-04-04 Jake Meyers 100.7mph · · · ·
2026-03-29 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 110.7mph · · · ·
2026-03-29 Jesús Sánchez 109.2mph 109.2mph 24° 417ft Yes
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
2 days · 4 total HRs
HRs Allowed
4 home runs against scored batters
Date Batter Rank Score Stadium EV Angle Dist
2026-04-04 Christian Walker #33 51 Sutter Health Park 108.2mph 20.0° 383.0ft
2026-04-04 Cam Smith #85 39 Sutter Health Park 111.1mph 34.0° 402.0ft
2026-03-29 George Springer #21 58 Rogers Centre 99.6mph 38.0° 362.0ft
2026-03-29 Jesús Sánchez #90 45 Rogers Centre 109.2mph 24.0° 417.0ft
Pitch Arsenal
higher RV = more hittable
Pitch Pitches Usage RV/100 Avg EV Avg LA HRs
Fastball 107 39.2% +6.2 87.9 29.9° 3
Sweeper 47 17.2% +2.4 82.5 14.4° 0
Sinker 44 16.1% -0.7 83.1 11.9° 0
Slider 42 15.4% +5.2 84.2 26.6° 2
Changeup 33 12.1% +4.7 84.2 42.2° 0
All Scored Matchups
17 matchups · newest first
Date Batter Rank Score Tier Form HR?
2026-04-04 Jake Meyers #174 32 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-04 Mauricio Dubon #147 31 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-04 Cam Smith #85 39 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-04-04 Victor Caratini #69 43 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-04 Yainer Diaz #51 46 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-04 Jeremy Pena #48 46 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-04 Jose Altuve #39 45 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-04 Isaac Paredes #36 48 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-04 Christian Walker #33 51 🟠 C 📉 COOL 💥
2026-03-29 Ernie Clement #160 31 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-03-29 Tyler Heineman #147 33 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-03-29 Andrés Giménez #128 31 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-29 Jesús Sánchez #90 45 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-03-29 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. #64 47 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-29 Addison Barger #47 51 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-03-29 George Springer #21 58 🟠 C ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-03-29 Daulton Varsho #19 64 🔵 C+ ❄ COLD ·
LD 3.2.88

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